Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with its D+32 partisan voting index—the 13th most Democratic nationwide—drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent lopsided victories including Ilhan Omar's 74%-25% 2024 win over Dalia al-Aqidi. Incumbent Omar, boasting over $1.1 million cash on hand, anchors the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers Julie Le—a former DOJ attorney—and Latonya Reeves, amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican endorsement of Al-Aqidi failed to shift odds, underscoring structural barriers. Realistic challenges include a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Omar scandal, or unprecedented national GOP midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाMN-05 House Election Winner
MN-05 House Election Winner
$31,469 वॉल्यूम
$31,469 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$31,469 वॉल्यूम
$31,469 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,039 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$16,584 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with its D+32 partisan voting index—the 13th most Democratic nationwide—drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent lopsided victories including Ilhan Omar's 74%-25% 2024 win over Dalia al-Aqidi. Incumbent Omar, boasting over $1.1 million cash on hand, anchors the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers Julie Le—a former DOJ attorney—and Latonya Reeves, amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican endorsement of Al-Aqidi failed to shift odds, underscoring structural barriers. Realistic challenges include a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Omar scandal, or unprecedented national GOP midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,469समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with its D+32 partisan voting index—the 13th most Democratic nationwide—drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent lopsided victories including Ilhan Omar's 74%-25% 2024 win over Dalia al-Aqidi. Incumbent Omar, boasting over $1.1 million cash on hand, anchors the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers Julie Le—a former DOJ attorney—and Latonya Reeves, amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican endorsement of Al-Aqidi failed to shift odds, underscoring structural barriers. Realistic challenges include a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Omar scandal, or unprecedented national GOP midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$31,469समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th Congressional District, with its D+32 partisan voting index—the 13th most Democratic nationwide—drives trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 93.5% to retain the seat in the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent lopsided victories including Ilhan Omar's 74%-25% 2024 win over Dalia al-Aqidi. Incumbent Omar, boasting over $1.1 million cash on hand, anchors the August 11 Democratic primary against challengers Julie Le—a former DOJ attorney—and Latonya Reeves, amid ratings of Solid Democratic from Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic from Sabato's Crystal Ball. Recent Republican endorsement of Al-Aqidi failed to shift odds, underscoring structural barriers. Realistic challenges include a disruptive Democratic primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, Omar scandal, or unprecedented national GOP midterm wave.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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