Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$10,492 वॉल्यूम
$10,492 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$10,492 वॉल्यूम
$10,492 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,967 वॉल्यूम
92%
Republican Party
$3,525 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,492समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,492समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Pennsylvania's 5th Congressional District stems from the seat's strong partisan lean (Cook PVI D+15), her unchallenged history since flipping it in 2018, and a weak Republican primary field featuring unknowns Joshua Brown and Nick Manganaro. With the March 10 filing deadline passing uneventfully and no polling showing contention, the May 19 primaries pose little threat to Scanlon against Melvin Campbell and Melvin Prince Johnakin. Scenarios to shift odds include a well-funded GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a national midterm Republican wave, or unforeseen Scanlon scandal, though structural district advantages favor continuation of Democratic control.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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