Incumbent Democratic Representative Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican challenger Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Scanlon’s 2024 victory. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following unopposed primaries in May. Broader state polling shows Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot amid national conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding position stems from structural partisan lean, incumbency, and limited Republican resources. Late-cycle developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow margins, though the district’s underlying composition limits realistic upset potential.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
PA -05 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$33,086 वॉल्यूम
$33,086 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
6%
$33,086 वॉल्यूम
$33,086 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$9,603 वॉल्यूम
94%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$23,483 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican challenger Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Scanlon’s 2024 victory. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following unopposed primaries in May. Broader state polling shows Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot amid national conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding position stems from structural partisan lean, incumbency, and limited Republican resources. Late-cycle developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow margins, though the district’s underlying composition limits realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$33,086समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican challenger Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Scanlon’s 2024 victory. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following unopposed primaries in May. Broader state polling shows Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot amid national conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding position stems from structural partisan lean, incumbency, and limited Republican resources. Late-cycle developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow margins, though the district’s underlying composition limits realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$33,086समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mary Gay Scanlon faces Republican challenger Nick Manganaro in Pennsylvania’s 5th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries a D+15 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, including Scanlon’s 2024 victory. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic following unopposed primaries in May. Broader state polling shows Democratic advantages in the generic congressional ballot amid national conditions, reinforcing trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. A commanding position stems from structural partisan lean, incumbency, and limited Republican resources. Late-cycle developments such as major scandals, candidate health events, or sharp national swings could still narrow margins, though the district’s underlying composition limits realistic upset potential.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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