Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, pricing "No" at 63.3%, driven by the collapse of direct negotiations in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of talks. Iran rejected US demands for a 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and firm commitments against pursuing nuclear weapons capability, as stated by VP Vance, leaving a US "final offer" unanswered amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz blockade. While President Trump signaled possible second-round talks within days and mediators explore revival efforts, persistent disagreements on Iran's nuclear program—core to the 2025–2026 diplomacy—underscore the competitive odds, with no breakthroughs in the past week despite military and economic pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 अप्रैल तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
30 अप्रैल तक अमेरिका - ईरान परमाणु समझौता?
हाँ
$1,199,968 वॉल्यूम
$1,199,968 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
हाँ
$1,199,968 वॉल्यूम
$1,199,968 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, pricing "No" at 63.3%, driven by the collapse of direct negotiations in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of talks. Iran rejected US demands for a 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and firm commitments against pursuing nuclear weapons capability, as stated by VP Vance, leaving a US "final offer" unanswered amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz blockade. While President Trump signaled possible second-round talks within days and mediators explore revival efforts, persistent disagreements on Iran's nuclear program—core to the 2025–2026 diplomacy—underscore the competitive odds, with no breakthroughs in the past week despite military and economic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,199,968समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, pricing "No" at 63.3%, driven by the collapse of direct negotiations in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of talks. Iran rejected US demands for a 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and firm commitments against pursuing nuclear weapons capability, as stated by VP Vance, leaving a US "final offer" unanswered amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz blockade. While President Trump signaled possible second-round talks within days and mediators explore revival efforts, persistent disagreements on Iran's nuclear program—core to the 2025–2026 diplomacy—underscore the competitive odds, with no breakthroughs in the past week despite military and economic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
वॉल्यूम
$1,199,996समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep skepticism for a US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30, pricing "No" at 63.3%, driven by the collapse of direct negotiations in Islamabad on April 11 after 21 hours of talks. Iran rejected US demands for a 20-year uranium enrichment suspension and firm commitments against pursuing nuclear weapons capability, as stated by VP Vance, leaving a US "final offer" unanswered amid a fragile ceasefire and Strait of Hormuz blockade. While President Trump signaled possible second-round talks within days and mediators explore revival efforts, persistent disagreements on Iran's nuclear program—core to the 2025–2026 diplomacy—underscore the competitive odds, with no breakthroughs in the past week despite military and economic pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न