The first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, mediated by Pakistan, ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, as US demands for zero uranium enrichment, missile caps, nuclear site dismantlement, and curbs on proxy funding clashed with Iran's calls for full sanctions relief, reparations, and Strait of Hormuz transit rights. A two-week ceasefire from April 7 holds tenuously, expiring around April 21, while the US began blockading Iranian ports on April 14 to heighten pressure. Diplomats now pursue a second round of negotiations within days, with President Trump expressing optimism, though entrenched strategic gaps and historical US-Iran negotiation failures leave permanent deal prospects uncertain amid escalation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
अमेरिका x ईरान स्थायी शांति समझौता... तक?
$7,743,856 वॉल्यूम
22 अप्रैल, 2026
22 अप्रैल
22%
30 अप्रैल
40%
31 मई
60%
30 जून
73%
$7,743,856 वॉल्यूम
22 अप्रैल
$5,129,202 वॉल्यूम
22%
30 अप्रैल
$1,429,869 वॉल्यूम
40%
31 मई
$955,251 वॉल्यूम
60%
30 जून
$230,319 वॉल्यूम
73%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, mediated by Pakistan, ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, as US demands for zero uranium enrichment, missile caps, nuclear site dismantlement, and curbs on proxy funding clashed with Iran's calls for full sanctions relief, reparations, and Strait of Hormuz transit rights. A two-week ceasefire from April 7 holds tenuously, expiring around April 21, while the US began blockading Iranian ports on April 14 to heighten pressure. Diplomats now pursue a second round of negotiations within days, with President Trump expressing optimism, though entrenched strategic gaps and historical US-Iran negotiation failures leave permanent deal prospects uncertain amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$7,743,856समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, mediated by Pakistan, ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, as US demands for zero uranium enrichment, missile caps, nuclear site dismantlement, and curbs on proxy funding clashed with Iran's calls for full sanctions relief, reparations, and Strait of Hormuz transit rights. A two-week ceasefire from April 7 holds tenuously, expiring around April 21, while the US began blockading Iranian ports on April 14 to heighten pressure. Diplomats now pursue a second round of negotiations within days, with President Trump expressing optimism, though entrenched strategic gaps and historical US-Iran negotiation failures leave permanent deal prospects uncertain amid escalation risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$7,743,856समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 8, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first direct US-Iran peace talks in Islamabad, mediated by Pakistan, ended without agreement on April 12 after 21 hours, as US demands for zero uranium enrichment, missile caps, nuclear site dismantlement, and curbs on proxy funding clashed with Iran's calls for full sanctions relief, reparations, and Strait of Hormuz transit rights. A two-week ceasefire from April 7 holds tenuously, expiring around April 21, while the US began blockading Iranian ports on April 14 to heighten pressure. Diplomats now pursue a second round of negotiations within days, with President Trump expressing optimism, though entrenched strategic gaps and historical US-Iran negotiation failures leave permanent deal prospects uncertain amid escalation risks.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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