President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in first-round polls for Brazil's October 4 presidential election, with recent surveys from Datafolha (April 7-9), MDA (April 8-12), and others showing Lula at 39-40% and Flávio at 30-38%, well ahead of distant challengers like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 5-6%. Flávio has closed the gap through right-wing consolidation, bolstered by his father Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement and Tarcísio de Freitas' shift to São Paulo gubernatorial reelection. Runoff head-to-heads remain statistically tied or narrowly favoring one side, reflecting voter polarization amid Lula's high rejection rates and government disapproval near 53%. Upcoming party conventions and campaign events could further shape frontrunner positioning for the likely runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाब्राज़ील के राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए कौन से उम्मीदवार आगे बढ़ेंगे?
ब्राज़ील के राष्ट्रपति पद के लिए कौन से उम्मीदवार आगे बढ़ेंगे?
$271,467 वॉल्यूम
4 अक्टू, 2026
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
88%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
79%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
18%
टार्सीसियो डे फ्रीटास
5%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
4%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
3%
$271,467 वॉल्यूम
फ्लावियो बोल्सोनारो
$15,796 वॉल्यूम
88%
लुइज़ इनासियो लूला दा सिल्वा
$112,304 वॉल्यूम
79%
फर्नांडो हद्दाद
$47,542 वॉल्यूम
18%
टार्सीसियो डे फ्रीटास
$65,801 वॉल्यूम
5%
मिशेल बोल्सोनारो
$20,563 वॉल्यूम
4%
जैर बोल्सोनारो
$9,461 वॉल्यूम
3%
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in first-round polls for Brazil's October 4 presidential election, with recent surveys from Datafolha (April 7-9), MDA (April 8-12), and others showing Lula at 39-40% and Flávio at 30-38%, well ahead of distant challengers like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 5-6%. Flávio has closed the gap through right-wing consolidation, bolstered by his father Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement and Tarcísio de Freitas' shift to São Paulo gubernatorial reelection. Runoff head-to-heads remain statistically tied or narrowly favoring one side, reflecting voter polarization amid Lula's high rejection rates and government disapproval near 53%. Upcoming party conventions and campaign events could further shape frontrunner positioning for the likely runoff.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$271,467समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in first-round polls for Brazil's October 4 presidential election, with recent surveys from Datafolha (April 7-9), MDA (April 8-12), and others showing Lula at 39-40% and Flávio at 30-38%, well ahead of distant challengers like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 5-6%. Flávio has closed the gap through right-wing consolidation, bolstered by his father Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement and Tarcísio de Freitas' shift to São Paulo gubernatorial reelection. Runoff head-to-heads remain statistically tied or narrowly favoring one side, reflecting voter polarization amid Lula's high rejection rates and government disapproval near 53%. Upcoming party conventions and campaign events could further shape frontrunner positioning for the likely runoff.
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
वॉल्यूम
$271,467समाप्ति तिथि
4 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 18, 2025, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in first-round polls for Brazil's October 4 presidential election, with recent surveys from Datafolha (April 7-9), MDA (April 8-12), and others showing Lula at 39-40% and Flávio at 30-38%, well ahead of distant challengers like Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema at 5-6%. Flávio has closed the gap through right-wing consolidation, bolstered by his father Jair Bolsonaro's endorsement and Tarcísio de Freitas' shift to São Paulo gubernatorial reelection. Runoff head-to-heads remain statistically tied or narrowly favoring one side, reflecting voter polarization amid Lula's high rejection rates and government disapproval near 53%. Upcoming party conventions and campaign events could further shape frontrunner positioning for the likely runoff.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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