Iran's Sharia-based legal system, enshrined in its constitution and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with official policy and religious doctrine. No legislative proposals, parliamentary votes, or executive actions in the Majlis have emerged in recent months to challenge this status quo, amid ongoing reports of LGBTQ persecution and forced gender transitions as alternatives to harsher punishments. Trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects these insurmountable structural barriers, with historical precedents showing no reforms despite sporadic protests. Only a regime change or revolutionary shift could alter odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$41,215 वॉल्यूम
$41,215 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$41,215 वॉल्यूम
$41,215 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Sharia-based legal system, enshrined in its constitution and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with official policy and religious doctrine. No legislative proposals, parliamentary votes, or executive actions in the Majlis have emerged in recent months to challenge this status quo, amid ongoing reports of LGBTQ persecution and forced gender transitions as alternatives to harsher punishments. Trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects these insurmountable structural barriers, with historical precedents showing no reforms despite sporadic protests. Only a regime change or revolutionary shift could alter odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$41,215समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Sharia-based legal system, enshrined in its constitution and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with official policy and religious doctrine. No legislative proposals, parliamentary votes, or executive actions in the Majlis have emerged in recent months to challenge this status quo, amid ongoing reports of LGBTQ persecution and forced gender transitions as alternatives to harsher punishments. Trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects these insurmountable structural barriers, with historical precedents showing no reforms despite sporadic protests. Only a regime change or revolutionary shift could alter odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$41,215समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Sharia-based legal system, enshrined in its constitution and enforced by the Supreme Leader and Guardian Council, criminalizes same-sex relations with penalties up to death, making gay marriage legalization fundamentally incompatible with official policy and religious doctrine. No legislative proposals, parliamentary votes, or executive actions in the Majlis have emerged in recent months to challenge this status quo, amid ongoing reports of LGBTQ persecution and forced gender transitions as alternatives to harsher punishments. Trader consensus at 97.7% "No" reflects these insurmountable structural barriers, with historical precedents showing no reforms despite sporadic protests. Only a regime change or revolutionary shift could alter odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable absent major upheaval.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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