California voters will decide Proposition 3 on November 3, 2026, which would amend the state constitution to make permanent the top marginal income tax rates (10.3% to 12.3%) on single filers above roughly $361,000 and joint filers above $721,000. These rates, originally enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended by Proposition 55 in 2016, generate $5–15 billion annually for K-12 schools and community colleges before scheduled expiration in 2031. The measure, backed by the California Teachers Association and other education unions, qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after signature gathering. Traders price Yes at 65.5% amid established voter support for education funding measures and organized labor mobilization, with revenue allocation and historical passage trends shaping the current implied probability ahead of the fall campaign.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui66% peluang
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Nov 3, 2026
66% peluang
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Nov 3, 2026
Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 3 on November 3, 2026, which would amend the state constitution to make permanent the top marginal income tax rates (10.3% to 12.3%) on single filers above roughly $361,000 and joint filers above $721,000. These rates, originally enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended by Proposition 55 in 2016, generate $5–15 billion annually for K-12 schools and community colleges before scheduled expiration in 2031. The measure, backed by the California Teachers Association and other education unions, qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after signature gathering. Traders price Yes at 65.5% amid established voter support for education funding measures and organized labor mobilization, with revenue allocation and historical passage trends shaping the current implied probability ahead of the fall campaign.
Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Volume
$2,224Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).California voters will decide Proposition 3 on November 3, 2026, which would amend the state constitution to make permanent the top marginal income tax rates (10.3% to 12.3%) on single filers above roughly $361,000 and joint filers above $721,000. These rates, originally enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended by Proposition 55 in 2016, generate $5–15 billion annually for K-12 schools and community colleges before scheduled expiration in 2031. The measure, backed by the California Teachers Association and other education unions, qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after signature gathering. Traders price Yes at 65.5% amid established voter support for education funding measures and organized labor mobilization, with revenue allocation and historical passage trends shaping the current implied probability ahead of the fall campaign.
Proposition 3 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would make permanent a temporary income tax (up to 12%) on high earners that voters approved in 2012, set to expire in 2031.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Volume
$2,224Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California voters will decide Proposition 3 on November 3, 2026, which would amend the state constitution to make permanent the top marginal income tax rates (10.3% to 12.3%) on single filers above roughly $361,000 and joint filers above $721,000. These rates, originally enacted via Proposition 30 in 2012 and extended by Proposition 55 in 2016, generate $5–15 billion annually for K-12 schools and community colleges before scheduled expiration in 2031. The measure, backed by the California Teachers Association and other education unions, qualified for the ballot in June 2026 after signature gathering. Traders price Yes at 65.5% amid established voter support for education funding measures and organized labor mobilization, with revenue allocation and historical passage trends shaping the current implied probability ahead of the fall campaign.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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