Recent June 2026 core CPI data, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations, has anchored trader expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.21% core MoM growth, while shelter costs and services inflation show signs of stabilization rather than acceleration. These inputs, alongside steady labor market readings and base effects from prior months, support the 51% implied probability on a 0.2% print as the market consensus. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in goods prices or energy passthrough capable of shifting probabilities toward the 0.1% or 0.3% outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCore CPI MoM - July 2026
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2% 51.0%
0.3% 25.1%
0.1% 20.8%
≤0.0% 3.0%
$84,946 Vol.
$84,946 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
21%
0.2%
51%
0.3%
25%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
1%
0.6%+
2%
0.2% 51.0%
0.3% 25.1%
0.1% 20.8%
≤0.0% 3.0%
$84,946 Vol.
$84,946 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
$4,465 Vol.
3%
0.1%
$21,256 Vol.
21%
0.2%
$30,642 Vol.
51%
0.3%
$18,042 Vol.
25%
0.4%
$4,872 Vol.
1%
0.5%
$3,023 Vol.
1%
0.6%+
$2,646 Vol.
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 core CPI data, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations, has anchored trader expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.21% core MoM growth, while shelter costs and services inflation show signs of stabilization rather than acceleration. These inputs, alongside steady labor market readings and base effects from prior months, support the 51% implied probability on a 0.2% print as the market consensus. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in goods prices or energy passthrough capable of shifting probabilities toward the 0.1% or 0.3% outcomes.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Volume
$84,946Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 core CPI data, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations, has anchored trader expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.21% core MoM growth, while shelter costs and services inflation show signs of stabilization rather than acceleration. These inputs, alongside steady labor market readings and base effects from prior months, support the 51% implied probability on a 0.2% print as the market consensus. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in goods prices or energy passthrough capable of shifting probabilities toward the 0.1% or 0.3% outcomes.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$84,946Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 core CPI data, which came in flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations, has anchored trader expectations for a modest rebound in July. Cleveland Fed nowcasts currently point to 0.21% core MoM growth, while shelter costs and services inflation show signs of stabilization rather than acceleration. These inputs, alongside steady labor market readings and base effects from prior months, support the 51% implied probability on a 0.2% print as the market consensus. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with any deviation in goods prices or energy passthrough capable of shifting probabilities toward the 0.1% or 0.3% outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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