Skip to main content
Market icon
Politik·House Primary

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politik·House Primary

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 88%

Sam Couvillon 9%

Gregg Poole 5%

Polymarket
BARU

Andrew Clyde 88%

Sam Couvillon 9%

Gregg Poole 5%

Polymarket
BARU

Andrew Clyde

$335 Vol.

88%

Sam Couvillon

$121 Vol.

9%

Gregg Poole

$4,251 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 87.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, driven by strong incumbency advantages in this deep-red district, including name recognition and institutional support, despite limited recent polling. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (8.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (4.5%) debated Clyde on March 23 at a 9th District GOP event, emphasizing local issues and his perceived outsider status, but no post-debate surveys or momentum has emerged to challenge his lead. Early February FEC filings showed Couvillon topping fundraising at $603,000 raised versus Clyde's $449,000 and Poole's $151,000 (including self-loans), yet traders discount this amid historical primary win rates for incumbents exceeding 90%. Early voting starts late April, with base turnout a key watchpoint.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,707
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 87.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary on May 19, driven by strong incumbency advantages in this deep-red district, including name recognition and institutional support, despite limited recent polling. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (8.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (4.5%) debated Clyde on March 23 at a 9th District GOP event, emphasizing local issues and his perceived outsider status, but no post-debate surveys or momentum has emerged to challenge his lead. Early February FEC filings showed Couvillon topping fundraising at $603,000 raised versus Clyde's $449,000 and Poole's $151,000 (including self-loans), yet traders discount this amid historical primary win rates for incumbents exceeding 90%. Early voting starts late April, with base turnout a key watchpoint.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,707
Tanggal Berakhir
May 19, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 3 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andrew Clyde" di 88%, diikuti oleh "Sam Couvillon" di 9%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 88¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Mar 20, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 3 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Andrew Clyde" di 88%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 88% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Sam Couvillon" di 9%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.