Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on August 24, 2026, centers on a persistent heat wave under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies and minimal moisture expected to limit afternoon cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project daily highs of 103–106°F, placing the 104–105°F bin as the modal outcome and explaining its 44.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or tropical moisture, while climatological norms for late August in Central Texas (average high near 96–98°F) underscore the anomalous warmth. Minor spread in guidance around 102–106°F supports the secondary weight on adjacent bins, with traders incorporating the typical 1–2°F uncertainty range in official maximum temperature observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 24?
104-105°F 45%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
30%
104-105°F
45%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
3%
114°F or higher
2%
104-105°F 45%
102-103°F 30%
106-107°F 14%
100-101°F 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
95°F or below
$37 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$81 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$48 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$160 Vol.
5%
102-103°F
$261 Vol.
30%
104-105°F
$442 Vol.
45%
106-107°F
$60 Vol.
14%
108-109°F
$32 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$57 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$36 Vol.
3%
114°F or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on August 24, 2026, centers on a persistent heat wave under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies and minimal moisture expected to limit afternoon cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project daily highs of 103–106°F, placing the 104–105°F bin as the modal outcome and explaining its 44.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or tropical moisture, while climatological norms for late August in Central Texas (average high near 96–98°F) underscore the anomalous warmth. Minor spread in guidance around 102–106°F supports the secondary weight on adjacent bins, with traders incorporating the typical 1–2°F uncertainty range in official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,219Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on August 24, 2026, centers on a persistent heat wave under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies and minimal moisture expected to limit afternoon cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project daily highs of 103–106°F, placing the 104–105°F bin as the modal outcome and explaining its 44.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or tropical moisture, while climatological norms for late August in Central Texas (average high near 96–98°F) underscore the anomalous warmth. Minor spread in guidance around 102–106°F supports the secondary weight on adjacent bins, with traders incorporating the typical 1–2°F uncertainty range in official maximum temperature observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,219Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on August 24, 2026, centers on a persistent heat wave under strong high pressure, with mostly sunny skies and minimal moisture expected to limit afternoon cooling. Ensemble forecasts from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather project daily highs of 103–106°F, placing the 104–105°F bin as the modal outcome and explaining its 44.5% market-implied probability. Recent model runs have held steady without significant shifts from upstream troughs or tropical moisture, while climatological norms for late August in Central Texas (average high near 96–98°F) underscore the anomalous warmth. Minor spread in guidance around 102–106°F supports the secondary weight on adjacent bins, with traders incorporating the typical 1–2°F uncertainty range in official maximum temperature observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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