Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Vol.
$57,233 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
26°C or below 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$57,233 Vol.
$57,233 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
26°C or below
$20,308 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$8,283 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,610 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,396 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,425 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,356 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,857 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,241 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,390 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,854 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,513 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$57,233Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,233Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 26°C or below at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport on April 17, 2026, driven by official observations confirming peak readings no higher than 26°C amid persistent cloud cover and moderate rain from a low-pressure trough over Guangdong province. China Meteorological Administration forecasts had anticipated a 28°C high, but reduced insolation under overcast skies—reducing incoming solar radiation by up to 80%—combined with evaporative cooling from showers, suppressed daytime heating, aligning with historical April climatology where cloudy days average 2–4°C cooler than sunny norms. Only an unlikely post-daylight data revision from Wunderground's finalized airport records could challenge this positioning.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan