**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.** This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 13?
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 4%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
25°C 4%
20°C <1%
24°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
16°C or below
$110 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$403 Vol.
1%
21°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$382 Vol.
1%
24°C
$382 Vol.
1%
25°C
$449 Vol.
4%
26°C or higher
$843 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.**
This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,312Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.**
This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values.
Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,312Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from multiple sources, including AccuWeather, the Met Office, BBC Weather, and timeanddate, indicate a daytime high near 26°C (79°F) for Jinan on August 13, 2026, under light rain or showers with possible overcast skies.** This consensus supports the market's strong 91% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting typical mid-August conditions in Shandong where seasonal averages reach 29–30°C but recent typhoon-related moisture (such as from Dolphin) has introduced cloud cover and precipitation that caps extreme heat while still allowing temperatures to reach or slightly exceed the threshold. Historical August highs in Jinan often exceed 30°C under clearer conditions, yet current steering patterns and model runs favor moderated values. Realistic challenges to the dominant outcome include a stronger or more persistent rain event or an unexpected shift in the post-typhoon air mass that keeps readings at or below 25°C, though most ensemble guidance assigns low odds to such cooling. Updated NMC or CMA model runs on August 12–13 will provide the clearest near-term signals for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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