Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global models supports trader positioning around 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 14 maximum, reflecting typical midsummer conditions where average highs reach 30–32°C. Persistent regional high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly flow are expected to sustain temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, well above the 26°C threshold. Historical climatology reinforces this outlook, with August peaks routinely exceeding 30°C. Only significant, unforecasted convective activity or a rapid shift in steering winds could trim the daily maximum several degrees, though current model runs show limited precipitation risk and stable atmospheric patterns through the period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 14?
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from the China Meteorological Administration and global models supports trader positioning around 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 14 maximum, reflecting typical midsummer conditions where average highs reach 30–32°C. Persistent regional high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and southeasterly flow are expected to sustain temperatures in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius, well above the 26°C threshold. Historical climatology reinforces this outlook, with August peaks routinely exceeding 30°C. Only significant, unforecasted convective activity or a rapid shift in steering winds could trim the daily maximum several degrees, though current model runs show limited precipitation risk and stable atmospheric patterns through the period.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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