**Trader sentiment heavily favors a high of 26°C or above (73% implied probability) for Jinan on August 24, 2026, because official and ensemble forecasts consistently project daytime maxima of 32–34°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** August climatology for Jinan shows average highs near 30–32°C that only gradually decline toward month-end, with frequent exceedances of 33°C under the influence of warm, moist southerly flow and residual subtropical ridge support. Recent model guidance from sources such as BBC, timeanddate, and AccuWeather indicates a high near 33°C (91–93°F) with thundery showers and light winds; these convective events may briefly limit peak heating but are unlikely to suppress the maximum below the mid-30s given strong insolation and dew points in the mid-20s. No significant cold-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping surface temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. Lower-probability outcomes (22–25°C or cooler) receive minimal market weight because they would require an unseasonably strong northerly surge not supported by current guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
-
24°C 2%
25°C 2%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
1%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$5 Vol.
-
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a high of 26°C or above (73% implied probability) for Jinan on August 24, 2026, because official and ensemble forecasts consistently project daytime maxima of 32–34°C amid typical late-summer conditions.**
August climatology for Jinan shows average highs near 30–32°C that only gradually decline toward month-end, with frequent exceedances of 33°C under the influence of warm, moist southerly flow and residual subtropical ridge support. Recent model guidance from sources such as BBC, timeanddate, and AccuWeather indicates a high near 33°C (91–93°F) with thundery showers and light winds; these convective events may briefly limit peak heating but are unlikely to suppress the maximum below the mid-30s given strong insolation and dew points in the mid-20s.
No significant cold-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping surface temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. Lower-probability outcomes (22–25°C or cooler) receive minimal market weight because they would require an unseasonably strong northerly surge not supported by current guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment heavily favors a high of 26°C or above (73% implied probability) for Jinan on August 24, 2026, because official and ensemble forecasts consistently project daytime maxima of 32–34°C amid typical late-summer conditions.**
August climatology for Jinan shows average highs near 30–32°C that only gradually decline toward month-end, with frequent exceedances of 33°C under the influence of warm, moist southerly flow and residual subtropical ridge support. Recent model guidance from sources such as BBC, timeanddate, and AccuWeather indicates a high near 33°C (91–93°F) with thundery showers and light winds; these convective events may briefly limit peak heating but are unlikely to suppress the maximum below the mid-30s given strong insolation and dew points in the mid-20s.
No significant cold-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping surface temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. Lower-probability outcomes (22–25°C or cooler) receive minimal market weight because they would require an unseasonably strong northerly surge not supported by current guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment heavily favors a high of 26°C or above (73% implied probability) for Jinan on August 24, 2026, because official and ensemble forecasts consistently project daytime maxima of 32–34°C amid typical late-summer conditions.** August climatology for Jinan shows average highs near 30–32°C that only gradually decline toward month-end, with frequent exceedances of 33°C under the influence of warm, moist southerly flow and residual subtropical ridge support. Recent model guidance from sources such as BBC, timeanddate, and AccuWeather indicates a high near 33°C (91–93°F) with thundery showers and light winds; these convective events may briefly limit peak heating but are unlikely to suppress the maximum below the mid-30s given strong insolation and dew points in the mid-20s. No significant cold-air intrusion or frontal passage is expected in the next 24–48 hours, keeping surface temperatures well above the 26°C threshold. Lower-probability outcomes (22–25°C or cooler) receive minimal market weight because they would require an unseasonably strong northerly surge not supported by current guidance. Updated National Meteorological Center or ECMWF runs tomorrow morning will provide the final confirmation ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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