The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 30°C high in Manila on September 9 reflect official forecasts from PAGASA and global models showing persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 25–120 mm of rain expected to suppress daytime heating. September climatology places average highs near 31°C, but the current pattern of moderate-to-heavy precipitation and high humidity aligns closely with a peak around 30°C, consistent with recent observations near 28–29°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings; clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, while heavier monsoon activity would reinforce the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on September 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 9?
30°C 95%
31°C 5%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$26,062 Vol.
$26,062 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
95%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 95%
31°C 5%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$26,062 Vol.
$26,062 Vol.
Sep 9, 2026
23°C or below
$240 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$805 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,743 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,808 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,922 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,363 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,864 Vol.
95%
31°C
$1,860 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 30°C high in Manila on September 9 reflect official forecasts from PAGASA and global models showing persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 25–120 mm of rain expected to suppress daytime heating. September climatology places average highs near 31°C, but the current pattern of moderate-to-heavy precipitation and high humidity aligns closely with a peak around 30°C, consistent with recent observations near 28–29°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings; clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, while heavier monsoon activity would reinforce the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$26,062Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 30°C high in Manila on September 9 reflect official forecasts from PAGASA and global models showing persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 25–120 mm of rain expected to suppress daytime heating. September climatology places average highs near 31°C, but the current pattern of moderate-to-heavy precipitation and high humidity aligns closely with a peak around 30°C, consistent with recent observations near 28–29°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings; clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, while heavier monsoon activity would reinforce the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,062Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 9, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant 95.5% market-implied odds for a 30°C high in Manila on September 9 reflect official forecasts from PAGASA and global models showing persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and 25–120 mm of rain expected to suppress daytime heating. September climatology places average highs near 31°C, but the current pattern of moderate-to-heavy precipitation and high humidity aligns closely with a peak around 30°C, consistent with recent observations near 28–29°C. Resolution hinges on official station readings; clearer skies or reduced rainfall could allow temperatures to edge higher, while heavier monsoon activity would reinforce the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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