Recent forecast guidance from regional models and agencies such as INMET indicates a daytime maximum in São Paulo on August 4 near 26–27 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Warmer-than-average air masses and reduced cloud cover over southern Brazil have lifted temperatures 1–3 °C above the long-term August climatology of 23–25 °C, while light winds and urban heat retention in the metropolitan area add local variability. Ensemble runs show modest spread driven by afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of official observations used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 4?
26°C 35%
27°C 31%
25°C 20%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
35%
27°C
31%
28°C
14%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
27°C 31%
25°C 20%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 4, 2026
22°C or below
$102 Vol.
1%
23°C
$64 Vol.
1%
24°C
$26 Vol.
2%
25°C
$489 Vol.
20%
26°C
$302 Vol.
35%
27°C
$246 Vol.
31%
28°C
$256 Vol.
14%
29°C
$112 Vol.
4%
30°C
$90 Vol.
2%
31°C
$35 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and agencies such as INMET indicates a daytime maximum in São Paulo on August 4 near 26–27 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Warmer-than-average air masses and reduced cloud cover over southern Brazil have lifted temperatures 1–3 °C above the long-term August climatology of 23–25 °C, while light winds and urban heat retention in the metropolitan area add local variability. Ensemble runs show modest spread driven by afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of official observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,759Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and agencies such as INMET indicates a daytime maximum in São Paulo on August 4 near 26–27 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Warmer-than-average air masses and reduced cloud cover over southern Brazil have lifted temperatures 1–3 °C above the long-term August climatology of 23–25 °C, while light winds and urban heat retention in the metropolitan area add local variability. Ensemble runs show modest spread driven by afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of official observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,759Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and agencies such as INMET indicates a daytime maximum in São Paulo on August 4 near 26–27 °C, supporting the near-even market split between those outcomes. Warmer-than-average air masses and reduced cloud cover over southern Brazil have lifted temperatures 1–3 °C above the long-term August climatology of 23–25 °C, while light winds and urban heat retention in the metropolitan area add local variability. Ensemble runs show modest spread driven by afternoon convection timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating genuine uncertainty around the precise peak. Updated model guidance expected overnight will likely tighten the distribution ahead of official observations used for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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