Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 19 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around a mild winter pattern, with 27°C leading at 36.5% amid closely bunched outcomes from 26–28°C. Recent INMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs indicate southerly flow and a building subtropical ridge limiting stronger cooling, keeping daytime peaks near or slightly above the 22–24°C July climatology. Key differentiators include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally; any late-model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection would favor the 28°C bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage supports 26°C resolution. Updated 12–18 UTC model suites tomorrow morning remain the decisive data point before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 19?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$37,136 Vol.
$37,136 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$37,136 Vol.
$37,136 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Trader sentiment for São Paulo’s July 19 maximum temperature centers on model consensus around a mild winter pattern, with 27°C leading at 36.5% amid closely bunched outcomes from 26–28°C. Recent INMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF runs indicate southerly flow and a building subtropical ridge limiting stronger cooling, keeping daytime peaks near or slightly above the 22–24°C July climatology. Key differentiators include boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2°C locally; any late-model shift toward clearer skies or warmer advection would favor the 28°C bin, while increased low-level moisture or earlier frontal passage supports 26°C resolution. Updated 12–18 UTC model suites tomorrow morning remain the decisive data point before market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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