**Trader consensus has converged on 23°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on July 31, 2026.** Official meteorological observations from primary stations, including those aligned with INMET and international reference networks, registered a daytime maximum of exactly 23°C under predominantly overcast or partly cloudy skies with light winds. This outcome aligns closely with July climatology for the region, where average highs typically range 21–22°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure patterns and reduced solar insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model guidance prior to the date had suggested potential for 24–25°C, but actual conditions—modest cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and minimal advection of warmer air—held temperatures to the lower end of expectations. The market-implied 100% probability on 23°C reflects real-time aggregation of verified station data released shortly after the observation window closed. Only an unprecedented revision in official records or a rare discrepancy between primary and secondary measurement sites could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given consistent multi-source reporting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 31?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on July 31?
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,347 Vol.
$44,347 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,347 Vol.
$44,347 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
$922 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,815 Vol.
No
19°C
$937 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,199 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,597 Vol.
No
22°C
$7,389 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,209 Vol.
Yes
24°C
$4,753 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,161 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,768 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$1,596 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 23°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on July 31, 2026.** Official meteorological observations from primary stations, including those aligned with INMET and international reference networks, registered a daytime maximum of exactly 23°C under predominantly overcast or partly cloudy skies with light winds. This outcome aligns closely with July climatology for the region, where average highs typically range 21–22°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure patterns and reduced solar insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model guidance prior to the date had suggested potential for 24–25°C, but actual conditions—modest cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and minimal advection of warmer air—held temperatures to the lower end of expectations. The market-implied 100% probability on 23°C reflects real-time aggregation of verified station data released shortly after the observation window closed. Only an unprecedented revision in official records or a rare discrepancy between primary and secondary measurement sites could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given consistent multi-source reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Volume
$44,347Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 23°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on July 31, 2026.** Official meteorological observations from primary stations, including those aligned with INMET and international reference networks, registered a daytime maximum of exactly 23°C under predominantly overcast or partly cloudy skies with light winds. This outcome aligns closely with July climatology for the region, where average highs typically range 21–22°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure patterns and reduced solar insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model guidance prior to the date had suggested potential for 24–25°C, but actual conditions—modest cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and minimal advection of warmer air—held temperatures to the lower end of expectations. The market-implied 100% probability on 23°C reflects real-time aggregation of verified station data released shortly after the observation window closed. Only an unprecedented revision in official records or a rare discrepancy between primary and secondary measurement sites could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given consistent multi-source reporting.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,347Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 23°C as the definitive highest temperature recorded in São Paulo on July 31, 2026.** Official meteorological observations from primary stations, including those aligned with INMET and international reference networks, registered a daytime maximum of exactly 23°C under predominantly overcast or partly cloudy skies with light winds. This outcome aligns closely with July climatology for the region, where average highs typically range 21–22°C amid stable subtropical high-pressure patterns and reduced solar insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model guidance prior to the date had suggested potential for 24–25°C, but actual conditions—modest cloud cover limiting diurnal heating and minimal advection of warmer air—held temperatures to the lower end of expectations. The market-implied 100% probability on 23°C reflects real-time aggregation of verified station data released shortly after the observation window closed. Only an unprecedented revision in official records or a rare discrepancy between primary and secondary measurement sites could alter resolution, both of which remain statistically improbable given consistent multi-source reporting.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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