**Recent official forecasts and model consensus for September 26, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Singapore’s Meteorological Service and multiple meteorological sources (including Weather.gov.sg fortnightly outlook and numerical models) project highs of 31–32°C that day, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, localized afternoon thundery showers possible, and light to moderate southeasterly or southwesterly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (42% implied probability) and supports the secondary 31°C share (22.5%). **El Niño conditions (Nino3.4 index recently +1.3 to +1.7°C) have driven above-average temperatures across September, with multiple days exceeding 34°C and a monthly peak of 35.3°C recorded earlier.** The ongoing strong El Niño favors warmer, drier southwest-monsoon weather, elevating baseline maxima relative to the long-term September average of ~31.6°C. Recent observations show the month running ~1.5°C above normal overall, reinforcing trader expectations that the 26th will remain in the upper end of the typical 30–34°C range rather than cooler or extreme outliers. **Key resolution factors include exact peak readings at official stations (typically Changi or the highest island-wide value) and any late intensification from reduced cloud cover or weaker showers.** With only ~48 hours until resolution and stable forecast guidance showing no sharp model divergence, the distribution clusters tightly around 31–32°C, while probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C remain low. Upcoming official updates from MSS or the National Environment Agency will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Singapore on September 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 26?
32°C 43%
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
33°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
35%
30°C
36%
31°C
22%
32°C
43%
33°C
32%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
33°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Sep 26, 2026
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
5%
29°C
$0 Vol.
35%
30°C
$0 Vol.
36%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$60 Vol.
43%
33°C
$47 Vol.
32%
34°C
$0 Vol.
10%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus for September 26, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Singapore’s Meteorological Service and multiple meteorological sources (including Weather.gov.sg fortnightly outlook and numerical models) project highs of 31–32°C that day, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, localized afternoon thundery showers possible, and light to moderate southeasterly or southwesterly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (42% implied probability) and supports the secondary 31°C share (22.5%).
**El Niño conditions (Nino3.4 index recently +1.3 to +1.7°C) have driven above-average temperatures across September, with multiple days exceeding 34°C and a monthly peak of 35.3°C recorded earlier.** The ongoing strong El Niño favors warmer, drier southwest-monsoon weather, elevating baseline maxima relative to the long-term September average of ~31.6°C. Recent observations show the month running ~1.5°C above normal overall, reinforcing trader expectations that the 26th will remain in the upper end of the typical 30–34°C range rather than cooler or extreme outliers.
**Key resolution factors include exact peak readings at official stations (typically Changi or the highest island-wide value) and any late intensification from reduced cloud cover or weaker showers.** With only ~48 hours until resolution and stable forecast guidance showing no sharp model divergence, the distribution clusters tightly around 31–32°C, while probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C remain low. Upcoming official updates from MSS or the National Environment Agency will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$107Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts and model consensus for September 26, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Singapore’s Meteorological Service and multiple meteorological sources (including Weather.gov.sg fortnightly outlook and numerical models) project highs of 31–32°C that day, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, localized afternoon thundery showers possible, and light to moderate southeasterly or southwesterly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (42% implied probability) and supports the secondary 31°C share (22.5%).
**El Niño conditions (Nino3.4 index recently +1.3 to +1.7°C) have driven above-average temperatures across September, with multiple days exceeding 34°C and a monthly peak of 35.3°C recorded earlier.** The ongoing strong El Niño favors warmer, drier southwest-monsoon weather, elevating baseline maxima relative to the long-term September average of ~31.6°C. Recent observations show the month running ~1.5°C above normal overall, reinforcing trader expectations that the 26th will remain in the upper end of the typical 30–34°C range rather than cooler or extreme outliers.
**Key resolution factors include exact peak readings at official stations (typically Changi or the highest island-wide value) and any late intensification from reduced cloud cover or weaker showers.** With only ~48 hours until resolution and stable forecast guidance showing no sharp model divergence, the distribution clusters tightly around 31–32°C, while probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C remain low. Upcoming official updates from MSS or the National Environment Agency will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$107Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47de9d...**Recent official forecasts and model consensus for September 26, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Singapore’s Meteorological Service and multiple meteorological sources (including Weather.gov.sg fortnightly outlook and numerical models) project highs of 31–32°C that day, with partly cloudy to cloudy skies, localized afternoon thundery showers possible, and light to moderate southeasterly or southwesterly winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 32°C outcome (42% implied probability) and supports the secondary 31°C share (22.5%). **El Niño conditions (Nino3.4 index recently +1.3 to +1.7°C) have driven above-average temperatures across September, with multiple days exceeding 34°C and a monthly peak of 35.3°C recorded earlier.** The ongoing strong El Niño favors warmer, drier southwest-monsoon weather, elevating baseline maxima relative to the long-term September average of ~31.6°C. Recent observations show the month running ~1.5°C above normal overall, reinforcing trader expectations that the 26th will remain in the upper end of the typical 30–34°C range rather than cooler or extreme outliers. **Key resolution factors include exact peak readings at official stations (typically Changi or the highest island-wide value) and any late intensification from reduced cloud cover or weaker showers.** With only ~48 hours until resolution and stable forecast guidance showing no sharp model divergence, the distribution clusters tightly around 31–32°C, while probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C remain low. Upcoming official updates from MSS or the National Environment Agency will provide the final observational tiebreaker.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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