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icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Dunia·Kanada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 44%

Emil Parfyonov 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%

Polymarket
BARU

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Derek Lefebvre 44%

Emil Parfyonov 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

26%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, trader probabilities reflect a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal candidate Randy Legault-Rankin, with other nominees from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trailing.** The election call on August 27 for the October 5 vote has just begun the campaign, and projections from models such as 338Canada show QS and Liberals locked in a near toss-up based on transposed 2022 results and current provincial polling. Fontecilla’s incumbency since 2018 provides an edge in this Montreal district, while Liberals retain historical strength among key voter blocs on the island. Broader trends, including PQ leads province-wide and QS softness outside urban cores, keep the seat competitive. Limited early-campaign events or local polling have yet to produce separation, leaving room for shifts from debates, turnout patterns, or late developments before nomination closes on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 5, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Andrés Fontecilla" di 44%, diikuti oleh "Derek Lefebvre" di 44%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 44¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 31, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" adalah "Andrés Fontecilla" di 44%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 44% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Derek Lefebvre" di 44%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.