Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on September 2 in the 13–15 °C range, supporting the near-even market-implied odds around 14 °C and 15 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while light southwesterly flow off the North Sea advects a mild maritime air mass, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatology. Model spread centers on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer wind speeds, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. No significant frontal passage or high-pressure ridge is indicated in the next 24–48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on the final observed minimum reported by official Dutch stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 2?
9°C or below 95%
16°C 95%
14°C 51%
15°C 51%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
95%
10°C
3%
11°C
6%
12°C
15%
13°C
38%
14°C
51%
15°C
51%
16°C
95%
17°C
21%
18°C
21%
19°C or higher
6%
9°C or below 95%
16°C 95%
14°C 51%
15°C 51%
BARU
BARU
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
95%
10°C
$63 Vol.
3%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
51%
16°C
$0 Vol.
95%
17°C
$20 Vol.
21%
18°C
$5 Vol.
21%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on September 2 in the 13–15 °C range, supporting the near-even market-implied odds around 14 °C and 15 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while light southwesterly flow off the North Sea advects a mild maritime air mass, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatology. Model spread centers on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer wind speeds, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. No significant frontal passage or high-pressure ridge is indicated in the next 24–48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on the final observed minimum reported by official Dutch stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$98Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on September 2 in the 13–15 °C range, supporting the near-even market-implied odds around 14 °C and 15 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while light southwesterly flow off the North Sea advects a mild maritime air mass, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatology. Model spread centers on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer wind speeds, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. No significant frontal passage or high-pressure ridge is indicated in the next 24–48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on the final observed minimum reported by official Dutch stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Amsterdam’s overnight minimum on September 2 in the 13–15 °C range, supporting the near-even market-implied odds around 14 °C and 15 °C. Persistent cloud cover is expected to limit nocturnal radiative cooling while light southwesterly flow off the North Sea advects a mild maritime air mass, keeping temperatures above typical early-September climatology. Model spread centers on exact cloud thickness and boundary-layer wind speeds, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. No significant frontal passage or high-pressure ridge is indicated in the next 24–48 hours, leaving resolution dependent on the final observed minimum reported by official Dutch stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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