Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Busan on September 12 have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, with numerical weather prediction models from regional forecasting centers converging on an overnight minimum near 18°C. This aligns with climatological September norms for the coastal city, where light northeast winds limit warm-air advection from the sea. The 98% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while enhanced cooling under drier air would be needed to push readings to 17°C or below.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Busan on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 12?
18°C 98.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$413 Vol.
$413 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 98.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$413 Vol.
$413 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$15 Vol.
No
16°C
$55 Vol.
No
17°C
$25 Vol.
No
18°C
$77 Vol.
Yes
19°C
$126 Vol.
No
20°C
$85 Vol.
No
21°C
$15 Vol.
No
22°C
$0 Vol.
No
23°C
$15 Vol.
No
24°C
$0 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Busan on September 12 have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, with numerical weather prediction models from regional forecasting centers converging on an overnight minimum near 18°C. This aligns with climatological September norms for the coastal city, where light northeast winds limit warm-air advection from the sea. The 98% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while enhanced cooling under drier air would be needed to push readings to 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$413Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Busan on September 12 have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, with numerical weather prediction models from regional forecasting centers converging on an overnight minimum near 18°C. This aligns with climatological September norms for the coastal city, where light northeast winds limit warm-air advection from the sea. The 98% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while enhanced cooling under drier air would be needed to push readings to 17°C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$413Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over Busan on September 12 have promoted efficient nocturnal radiative cooling, with numerical weather prediction models from regional forecasting centers converging on an overnight minimum near 18°C. This aligns with climatological September norms for the coastal city, where light northeast winds limit warm-air advection from the sea. The 98% market-implied probability for 18°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus amid low forecast uncertainty. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could raise the minimum by 1–2°C, while enhanced cooling under drier air would be needed to push readings to 17°C or below.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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