Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 20°C for Busan on September 26 under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's clustered 50% odds on outcomes around 15–17°C versus higher thresholds, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling amid humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky drops. Historical late-September lows average near 18–19°C, providing a baseline, though recent forecasts show slightly elevated values due to the warm, moist air mass. Key resolution factors include the exact timing of any clearing and wind shifts, with updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration expected in the next 48 hours to refine the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Busan on September 26?
25°C or higher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
98%
25°C or higher 98%
19°C 40%
20°C 40%
16°C 39%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
40%
20°C
40%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current numerical weather models project a minimum temperature near 20°C for Busan on September 26 under persistent cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and periods of rain that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's clustered 50% odds on outcomes around 15–17°C versus higher thresholds, reflecting model consensus on modest cooling amid humid, overcast conditions rather than clear-sky drops. Historical late-September lows average near 18–19°C, providing a baseline, though recent forecasts show slightly elevated values due to the warm, moist air mass. Key resolution factors include the exact timing of any clearing and wind shifts, with updated guidance from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration expected in the next 48 hours to refine the minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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