Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 26 likely in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 22°C, with current steering patterns and model consensus showing stable conditions that suppress both sharp drops below 20°C and spikes to 29°C or higher. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds include potential shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing, which could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the 25th will provide the next resolution-relevant data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 26?
29°C or higher 98%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
98%
29°C or higher 98%
22°C 40%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Chongqing on September 26 likely in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and elevated humidity that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 22°C, with current steering patterns and model consensus showing stable conditions that suppress both sharp drops below 20°C and spikes to 29°C or higher. Key variables differentiating the closely matched market-implied odds include potential shifts in wind direction or precipitation timing, which could alter the exact low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official observations through the 25th will provide the next resolution-relevant data points for traders.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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