**Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS supports a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 94% implied probability for that outcome.** Southerly winds off the cold Benguela Current, combined with high pressure and overcast conditions, are limiting overnight radiational cooling and holding the low near this level, consistent with seasonal September averages around 10–14°C. Recent hourly observations and guidance show temperatures stabilizing in the 14–15°C range overnight, with limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require stronger clear-sky radiational cooling or an unanticipated wind shift introducing colder air, though official monitoring indicates these factors are unlikely to drop readings below 13°C. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and station data at resolution time will confirm the exact minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
14°C 95%
9°C or below 4%
12°C 4%
13°C 2%
$1,306 Vol.
$1,306 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 95%
9°C or below 4%
12°C 4%
13°C 2%
$1,306 Vol.
$1,306 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$35 Vol.
No
10°C
$50 Vol.
No
11°C
$57 Vol.
No
12°C
$79 Vol.
No
13°C
$69 Vol.
No
14°C
$189 Vol.
Yes
15°C
$254 Vol.
No
16°C
$391 Vol.
No
17°C
$15 Vol.
No
18°C
$85 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$82 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS supports a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 94% implied probability for that outcome.** Southerly winds off the cold Benguela Current, combined with high pressure and overcast conditions, are limiting overnight radiational cooling and holding the low near this level, consistent with seasonal September averages around 10–14°C. Recent hourly observations and guidance show temperatures stabilizing in the 14–15°C range overnight, with limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require stronger clear-sky radiational cooling or an unanticipated wind shift introducing colder air, though official monitoring indicates these factors are unlikely to drop readings below 13°C. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and station data at resolution time will confirm the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,306Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS supports a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 94% implied probability for that outcome.** Southerly winds off the cold Benguela Current, combined with high pressure and overcast conditions, are limiting overnight radiational cooling and holding the low near this level, consistent with seasonal September averages around 10–14°C. Recent hourly observations and guidance show temperatures stabilizing in the 14–15°C range overnight, with limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require stronger clear-sky radiational cooling or an unanticipated wind shift introducing colder air, though official monitoring indicates these factors are unlikely to drop readings below 13°C. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and station data at resolution time will confirm the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,306Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 10, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Current forecast consensus from models such as GFS supports a minimum temperature of 14°C in Cape Town on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s 94% implied probability for that outcome.** Southerly winds off the cold Benguela Current, combined with high pressure and overcast conditions, are limiting overnight radiational cooling and holding the low near this level, consistent with seasonal September averages around 10–14°C. Recent hourly observations and guidance show temperatures stabilizing in the 14–15°C range overnight, with limited model spread. A realistic challenge would require stronger clear-sky radiational cooling or an unanticipated wind shift introducing colder air, though official monitoring indicates these factors are unlikely to drop readings below 13°C. Updated NHC/NOAA-style regional guidance and station data at resolution time will confirm the exact minimum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan