Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 24 driven by tropical moisture and a nearby low-pressure system, conditions that typically suppress daytime heating and promote radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 20°C or below, well below the 25.3°C climatological average, while clustering probabilities around 26–29°C reflect the narrower range seen in most ensemble guidance. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely watching updated runs from global and regional models for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter minimum temperatures. Historical analogs show similar rainy patterns occasionally producing lows near 23–24°C, though sub-21°C readings remain rare in August.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 24?
20°C or below 84%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
84%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
19%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 84%
23°C 36%
24°C 36%
27°C 19%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
84%
21°C
$5 Vol.
18%
22°C
$5 Vol.
18%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
36%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
19%
27°C
$16 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
19%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 24 driven by tropical moisture and a nearby low-pressure system, conditions that typically suppress daytime heating and promote radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 20°C or below, well below the 25.3°C climatological average, while clustering probabilities around 26–29°C reflect the narrower range seen in most ensemble guidance. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely watching updated runs from global and regional models for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter minimum temperatures. Historical analogs show similar rainy patterns occasionally producing lows near 23–24°C, though sub-21°C readings remain rare in August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 24 driven by tropical moisture and a nearby low-pressure system, conditions that typically suppress daytime heating and promote radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 20°C or below, well below the 25.3°C climatological average, while clustering probabilities around 26–29°C reflect the narrower range seen in most ensemble guidance. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely watching updated runs from global and regional models for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter minimum temperatures. Historical analogs show similar rainy patterns occasionally producing lows near 23–24°C, though sub-21°C readings remain rare in August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate persistent cloud cover, heavy rain, and thunderstorms over Guangzhou on August 24 driven by tropical moisture and a nearby low-pressure system, conditions that typically suppress daytime heating and promote radiational cooling overnight. This setup supports the market's elevated implied probability for a low of 20°C or below, well below the 25.3°C climatological average, while clustering probabilities around 26–29°C reflect the narrower range seen in most ensemble guidance. With resolution just two days away, traders are closely watching updated runs from global and regional models for any shifts in precipitation timing or intensity that could alter minimum temperatures. Historical analogs show similar rainy patterns occasionally producing lows near 23–24°C, though sub-21°C readings remain rare in August.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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