The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Vol.
$24,034 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,034 Vol.
$24,034 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$748 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,374 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,150 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,129 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,660 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,819 Vol.
No
27°C
$3,071 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,802 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$3,111 Vol.
No
30°C
$769 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$400 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$24,034Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,034Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The dominant market consensus on 28°C reflects the official minimum temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory on August 23, 2026, aligning with pre-event forecast models that projected overnight lows of 27–28°C amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions, scattered showers, and high humidity that limited radiational cooling. These readings fall within the seasonal baseline for August, when average overnight temperatures hover near 27°C according to long-term climatological data. Trader positioning draws from the reliability of Observatory instrumentation and model consensus showing no significant deviations from expected patterns. A shift would require an official revision to the recorded minimum or a different resolution criterion, both of which remain improbable given the clear observational record.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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