The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 25?
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 96%
29°C 46%
30°C 46%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C or higher
96%
21°C or below 97%
31°C or higher 96%
29°C 46%
30°C 46%
21°C or below
97%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
46%
27°C
27%
28°C
24%
29°C
46%
30°C
46%
31°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between 21°C-or-below (48%) and 31°C-or-higher (47%) minimum temperatures for Kuala Lumpur on August 25 reflects substantial uncertainty in short-range model guidance for nocturnal cooling just 48 hours ahead. In the city’s tropical urban setting, minimum temperatures hinge on factors including cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppress radiative cooling, boundary-layer moisture from the southwest monsoon, and local heat-island effects that can elevate overnight readings by 2–3°C relative to rural baselines. Recent GFS and ECMWF runs show divergent handling of an approaching equatorial wave, producing a wide envelope of possible minima around the 24–27°C climatological range. Updated model cycles and Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range and shift trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan