**The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 24°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 22 reflects official forecasts from MET Malaysia and regional models projecting a minimum near 25°C, aligned with September climatology of 24°C average overnight lows.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers suppress radiational cooling in this equatorial setting, producing minimal diurnal temperature swings. Recent observations and model runs show no significant cold advection or clear-sky episodes that would drive temperatures lower. Only an atypical break in cloud cover combined with stronger-than-expected winds could realistically push the recorded low to 23°C or below, a scenario with negligible current support in observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 22?
24°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$633 Vol.
$633 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$633 Vol.
$633 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**The dominant 99.5% market-implied probability for a 24°C low in Kuala Lumpur on September 22 reflects official forecasts from MET Malaysia and regional models projecting a minimum near 25°C, aligned with September climatology of 24°C average overnight lows.** Persistent high humidity, extensive cloud cover, and frequent showers suppress radiational cooling in this equatorial setting, producing minimal diurnal temperature swings. Recent observations and model runs show no significant cold advection or clear-sky episodes that would drive temperatures lower. Only an atypical break in cloud cover combined with stronger-than-expected winds could realistically push the recorded low to 23°C or below, a scenario with negligible current support in observational data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
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