Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 65%
14°C 24%
13°C 8%
16°C 6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
24%
15°C
65%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
14°C 24%
13°C 8%
16°C 6%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
24%
15°C
65%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office and European centers point to overnight lows near 14–15°C in London on August 6, driven by a strengthening westerly breeze and clearer conditions that promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs in the low 20s°C. This aligns with August climatology, where average minima hover around 13–14°C, though recent days have trended slightly warmer before the current fresher pattern. Trader consensus favors 15°C as the most probable floor, reflecting model agreement on limited cloud cover and no significant cold advection, while 14°C retains notable support if skies clear further. Updated Met Office guidance through the weekend and any overnight observations on August 5 will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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