Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are expected to maintain high humidity and cloud cover over Manila through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s °C. Recent PAGASA observations show daily minima near 26°C amid the habagat, with forecast model consensus pointing to similar conditions: widespread moisture, southwest winds of 8–12 m/s, and dew points around 24°C that compress the diurnal range. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of convective activity and any brief clear-sky windows that could allow slightly greater cooling, though climatological August lows (typically 24–26°C) and current model guidance make extremes below 23°C or above 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA and global model runs on August 29–30 will provide the key data for final assessment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 49%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
24°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
49%
31°C or higher
2%
30°C 49%
26°C 28%
25°C 27%
24°C 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$143 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
27%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
25%
30°C
$135 Vol.
49%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are expected to maintain high humidity and cloud cover over Manila through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s °C. Recent PAGASA observations show daily minima near 26°C amid the habagat, with forecast model consensus pointing to similar conditions: widespread moisture, southwest winds of 8–12 m/s, and dew points around 24°C that compress the diurnal range. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of convective activity and any brief clear-sky windows that could allow slightly greater cooling, though climatological August lows (typically 24–26°C) and current model guidance make extremes below 23°C or above 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA and global model runs on August 29–30 will provide the key data for final assessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$289Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are expected to maintain high humidity and cloud cover over Manila through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s °C. Recent PAGASA observations show daily minima near 26°C amid the habagat, with forecast model consensus pointing to similar conditions: widespread moisture, southwest winds of 8–12 m/s, and dew points around 24°C that compress the diurnal range. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of convective activity and any brief clear-sky windows that could allow slightly greater cooling, though climatological August lows (typically 24–26°C) and current model guidance make extremes below 23°C or above 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA and global model runs on August 29–30 will provide the key data for final assessment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$289Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow and scattered thunderstorms are expected to maintain high humidity and cloud cover over Manila through August 30, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows in the mid-20s °C. Recent PAGASA observations show daily minima near 26°C amid the habagat, with forecast model consensus pointing to similar conditions: widespread moisture, southwest winds of 8–12 m/s, and dew points around 24°C that compress the diurnal range. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 24–27°C reflects uncertainty over exact timing of convective activity and any brief clear-sky windows that could allow slightly greater cooling, though climatological August lows (typically 24–26°C) and current model guidance make extremes below 23°C or above 28°C unlikely. Updated PAGASA and global model runs on August 29–30 will provide the key data for final assessment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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