Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the Mexican monsoon pattern are anchoring overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–15 °C on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. High elevation (~2,240 m) promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear, yet widespread stratus and convective debris limit that loss, keeping minimum temperatures above the 9 °C or lower tail. Light northerly flow and dew points near 12–13 °C further moderate cooling rates, while small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread between the 13 °C and 16 °C buckets. Historical August minima average ~13 °C, providing context for why traders assign modest probability to extremes. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
9°C or below 72%
10°C 46%
15°C 45%
19°C or higher 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
72%
10°C
46%
11°C
23%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
36%
15°C
45%
16°C
24%
17°C
8%
18°C
7%
19°C or higher
44%
9°C or below 72%
10°C 46%
15°C 45%
19°C or higher 44%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Vol.
72%
10°C
$15 Vol.
46%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
36%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$15 Vol.
8%
18°C
$15 Vol.
7%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the Mexican monsoon pattern are anchoring overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–15 °C on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. High elevation (~2,240 m) promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear, yet widespread stratus and convective debris limit that loss, keeping minimum temperatures above the 9 °C or lower tail. Light northerly flow and dew points near 12–13 °C further moderate cooling rates, while small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread between the 13 °C and 16 °C buckets. Historical August minima average ~13 °C, providing context for why traders assign modest probability to extremes. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$65Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the Mexican monsoon pattern are anchoring overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–15 °C on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. High elevation (~2,240 m) promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear, yet widespread stratus and convective debris limit that loss, keeping minimum temperatures above the 9 °C or lower tail. Light northerly flow and dew points near 12–13 °C further moderate cooling rates, while small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread between the 13 °C and 16 °C buckets. Historical August minima average ~13 °C, providing context for why traders assign modest probability to extremes. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers tied to the Mexican monsoon pattern are anchoring overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–15 °C on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15 °C. High elevation (~2,240 m) promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling when skies clear, yet widespread stratus and convective debris limit that loss, keeping minimum temperatures above the 9 °C or lower tail. Light northerly flow and dew points near 12–13 °C further moderate cooling rates, while small differences in forecast cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture explain the spread between the 13 °C and 16 °C buckets. Historical August minima average ~13 °C, providing context for why traders assign modest probability to extremes. Updated model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance will be the next key data points.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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