Current forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's overnight low near 79–81°F on August 2 under typical late-summer conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with the historical August average low of 78°F and the narrow 77–83°F range shown in extended outlooks, producing tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins that hold over 90% of market-implied probability. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels drives the modest edge for 80–81°F, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 2?
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 42%
82-83°F 30%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service place Miami's overnight low near 79–81°F on August 2 under typical late-summer conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align closely with the historical August average low of 78°F and the narrow 77–83°F range shown in extended outlooks, producing tight clustering around the 78–83°F bins that hold over 90% of market-implied probability. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels drives the modest edge for 80–81°F, while any increase in cloud cover or sea-breeze effects could nudge readings slightly lower. Updated NWS guidance and next model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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