Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight in Milan, with expected minimums near 17–18°C at official stations such as Linate. Light easterly winds and dew points around 16–17°C limit further temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect may keep city-center readings slightly above rural analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C outcomes against the elevated 37.5% probability on 12°C or below, reflecting model divergence on exact timing of the diurnal minimum and potential for localized drainage of cooler air from the Po Valley. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's cooler cluster or align with seasonal September baselines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Milan on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 12?
14°C 82%
15°C 82%
12°C or below 75%
16°C 43%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
75%
13°C
9%
14°C
82%
15°C
82%
16°C
43%
17°C
41%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
14°C 82%
15°C 82%
12°C or below 75%
16°C 43%
BARU
BARU
Sep 12, 2026
12°C or below
$43 Vol.
75%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
82%
15°C
$0 Vol.
82%
16°C
$0 Vol.
43%
17°C
$0 Vol.
41%
18°C
$507 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight in Milan, with expected minimums near 17–18°C at official stations such as Linate. Light easterly winds and dew points around 16–17°C limit further temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect may keep city-center readings slightly above rural analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C outcomes against the elevated 37.5% probability on 12°C or below, reflecting model divergence on exact timing of the diurnal minimum and potential for localized drainage of cooler air from the Po Valley. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's cooler cluster or align with seasonal September baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight in Milan, with expected minimums near 17–18°C at official stations such as Linate. Light easterly winds and dew points around 16–17°C limit further temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect may keep city-center readings slightly above rural analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C outcomes against the elevated 37.5% probability on 12°C or below, reflecting model divergence on exact timing of the diurnal minimum and potential for localized drainage of cooler air from the Po Valley. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's cooler cluster or align with seasonal September baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$635Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicates a stable high-pressure regime over northern Italy, promoting clear skies and moderate radiative cooling overnight in Milan, with expected minimums near 17–18°C at official stations such as Linate. Light easterly winds and dew points around 16–17°C limit further temperature drops, while the urban heat island effect may keep city-center readings slightly above rural analogs. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 16°C and 17°C outcomes against the elevated 37.5% probability on 12°C or below, reflecting model divergence on exact timing of the diurnal minimum and potential for localized drainage of cooler air from the Po Valley. Upcoming hourly observations and updated runs will clarify whether conditions trend toward the market's cooler cluster or align with seasonal September baselines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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