Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 31?
22°C or higher 49%
14°C 48%
19°C 48%
18°C 42%
12°C or below
24%
13°C
20%
14°C
48%
15°C
37%
16°C
41%
17°C
32%
18°C
42%
19°C
48%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
49%
22°C or higher 49%
14°C 48%
19°C 48%
18°C 42%
12°C or below
24%
13°C
20%
14°C
48%
15°C
37%
16°C
41%
17°C
32%
18°C
42%
19°C
48%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF and national services, indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on August 31 will likely reach 15–17 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This reflects typical late-summer nocturnal radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs near 24 °C and limited cold-air advection. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 14–17 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest at this lead time, with differences driven mainly by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak showers that could alter surface heat loss. Historical August minima average near 13 °C, but current mild conditions and stable pressure patterns support the higher consensus range. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact overnight low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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