Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like Yr.no project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Qingdao on August 31, 2026, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and clear skies following scattered rain on August 29–30. Historical August overnight lows average 22°C, with current trends showing a gradual decline from recent 24–26°C readings amid stable high pressure. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though coastal marine influence and minor timing shifts in the steering flow introduce modest uncertainty that sustains elevated market-implied odds on 18°C or below. Updated guidance from the next 48-hour model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 31?
18°C or below 96%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
96%
19°C
49%
20°C
25%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
43%
26°C
43%
27°C
43%
28°C or higher
40%
18°C or below 96%
19°C 49%
23°C 49%
24°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
96%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
43%
26°C
$0 Vol.
43%
27°C
$0 Vol.
43%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like Yr.no project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Qingdao on August 31, 2026, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and clear skies following scattered rain on August 29–30. Historical August overnight lows average 22°C, with current trends showing a gradual decline from recent 24–26°C readings amid stable high pressure. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though coastal marine influence and minor timing shifts in the steering flow introduce modest uncertainty that sustains elevated market-implied odds on 18°C or below. Updated guidance from the next 48-hour model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like Yr.no project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Qingdao on August 31, 2026, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and clear skies following scattered rain on August 29–30. Historical August overnight lows average 22°C, with current trends showing a gradual decline from recent 24–26°C readings amid stable high pressure. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though coastal marine influence and minor timing shifts in the steering flow introduce modest uncertainty that sustains elevated market-implied odds on 18°C or below. Updated guidance from the next 48-hour model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources like Yr.no project a minimum temperature of 21–22°C in Qingdao on August 31, 2026, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air behind a frontal passage and clear skies following scattered rain on August 29–30. Historical August overnight lows average 22°C, with current trends showing a gradual decline from recent 24–26°C readings amid stable high pressure. Model consensus remains tight on this range, though coastal marine influence and minor timing shifts in the steering flow introduce modest uncertainty that sustains elevated market-implied odds on 18°C or below. Updated guidance from the next 48-hour model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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