Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 30 will stabilize near 27–28 °C, driven by high dew points near 25–26 °C, extensive cloud cover from scattered showers, and southeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns where humidity and weak winds typically keep lows within a narrow 1–2 °C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5 % implied probability for 27 °C, incorporates this model agreement and historical August climatology, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger advection of cooler air. Official station readings after midnight will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 30?
27°C 79%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
79%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 79%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$7 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$318 Vol.
7%
27°C
$865 Vol.
79%
28°C
$3,897 Vol.
9%
29°C
$69 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,139 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$79 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 30 will stabilize near 27–28 °C, driven by high dew points near 25–26 °C, extensive cloud cover from scattered showers, and southeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns where humidity and weak winds typically keep lows within a narrow 1–2 °C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5 % implied probability for 27 °C, incorporates this model agreement and historical August climatology, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger advection of cooler air. Official station readings after midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,473Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 30 will stabilize near 27–28 °C, driven by high dew points near 25–26 °C, extensive cloud cover from scattered showers, and southeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns where humidity and weak winds typically keep lows within a narrow 1–2 °C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5 % implied probability for 27 °C, incorporates this model agreement and historical August climatology, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger advection of cooler air. Official station readings after midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,473Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai’s overnight minimum on August 30 will stabilize near 27–28 °C, driven by high dew points near 25–26 °C, extensive cloud cover from scattered showers, and southeasterly flow that suppresses radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns where humidity and weak winds typically keep lows within a narrow 1–2 °C range. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75.5 % implied probability for 27 °C, incorporates this model agreement and historical August climatology, while lower-probability outcomes would require an unexpected clear-sky radiative drop or stronger advection of cooler air. Official station readings after midnight will resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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