Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 9 will settle near 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. Model consensus and station observations through the afternoon show surface temperatures cooling from daytime highs of 28–29 °C without significant cold-air advection or precipitation-driven drops, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader emphasis on the 24 °C outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these guidance values, while lower-probability outcomes below 23 °C would require an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or clearer radiational cooling not currently supported by ensemble runs. Updated local forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
24°C 70%
23°C 26.0%
22°C 2.5%
21°C <1%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
42%
24°C
70%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 70%
23°C 26.0%
22°C 2.5%
21°C <1%
$12,293 Vol.
$12,293 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
42%
24°C
70%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 9 will settle near 22–24 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds of 4–6 m/s. Model consensus and station observations through the afternoon show surface temperatures cooling from daytime highs of 28–29 °C without significant cold-air advection or precipitation-driven drops, aligning with typical early-September climatology for the region. Trader emphasis on the 24 °C outcome reflects the narrow uncertainty band around these guidance values, while lower-probability outcomes below 23 °C would require an unexpected late surge in northerly flow or clearer radiational cooling not currently supported by ensemble runs. Updated local forecasts tonight will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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