Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological services point to a nighttime minimum near 27–28°C on August 30 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher (over 70% combined implied probability across 28–32°C+ outcomes) aligns with recent observations of persistently warm nights above 27°C and August climatology showing average lows around 25°C but frequent suppression of cooling by moisture and convection. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of clear-sky conditions needed for stronger temperature drops in this equatorial setting, where diurnal ranges are typically modest. Updated model runs and official briefings on shower timing will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Singapore on August 30?
32°C or higher 88%
24°C 48%
30°C 48%
23°C 45%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
45%
24°C
48%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
3%
30°C
48%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
88%
32°C or higher 88%
24°C 48%
30°C 48%
23°C 45%
22°C or below
2%
23°C
45%
24°C
48%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
32%
29°C
3%
30°C
48%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's meteorological services point to a nighttime minimum near 27–28°C on August 30 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundery showers limiting radiative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 28°C or higher (over 70% combined implied probability across 28–32°C+ outcomes) aligns with recent observations of persistently warm nights above 27°C and August climatology showing average lows around 25°C but frequent suppression of cooling by moisture and convection. Lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflect the reduced likelihood of clear-sky conditions needed for stronger temperature drops in this equatorial setting, where diurnal ranges are typically modest. Updated model runs and official briefings on shower timing will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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