**Northeast monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant near-term drivers shaping the closely bunched market odds for Taipei’s September 17 minimum.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and ensemble model runs indicate overnight lows most likely bottoming near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with easterly winds of 4–7 m/s, limiting radiational cooling. Light drizzle or scattered showers in some solutions could further moderate the minimum by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing and reduced outgoing longwave radiation. A subset of warmer scenarios, reflected in the 27 °C+ share, arises if clearer breaks allow stronger daytime heating to carry into the early morning. The spread across 21–23 °C outcomes captures typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing this close to the verification window, with final CWA station readings expected to resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Taipei on September 17?
27°C or higher 49%
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 29%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
30%
22°C
32%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C or higher
49%
27°C or higher 49%
22°C 32%
21°C 30%
23°C 29%
17°C or below
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
28%
20°C
23%
21°C
30%
22°C
32%
23°C
29%
24°C
14%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C or higher
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant near-term drivers shaping the closely bunched market odds for Taipei’s September 17 minimum.** Official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and ensemble model runs indicate overnight lows most likely bottoming near 22–23 °C under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with easterly winds of 4–7 m/s, limiting radiational cooling. Light drizzle or scattered showers in some solutions could further moderate the minimum by 1–2 °C through enhanced mixing and reduced outgoing longwave radiation. A subset of warmer scenarios, reflected in the 27 °C+ share, arises if clearer breaks allow stronger daytime heating to carry into the early morning. The spread across 21–23 °C outcomes captures typical forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and wind timing this close to the verification window, with final CWA station readings expected to resolve the market.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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