Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light variable winds will drive Tel Aviv's September 1 minimum into the mid-20s °C range. Stable high pressure and moderate Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limit further drops, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could raise the floor by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–26 °C, with traders weighting the balance between typical late-summer minima near 25 °C and the small risk of slightly stronger nocturnal cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 2 will resolve the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 1?
20°C 100.0%
26°C 100%
22°C 99%
21°C 94%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
100%
21°C
94%
22°C
99%
23°C
51%
24°C
-
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
26°C 100%
22°C 99%
21°C 94%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
100%
21°C
94%
22°C
99%
23°C
51%
24°C
-
25°C
-
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles indicate overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light variable winds will drive Tel Aviv's September 1 minimum into the mid-20s °C range. Stable high pressure and moderate Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures limit further drops, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind could raise the floor by 1–2 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest this close to the event, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–26 °C, with traders weighting the balance between typical late-summer minima near 25 °C and the small risk of slightly stronger nocturnal cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations on September 2 will resolve the outcome.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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