Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, NOAA-influenced guidance, and regional analyses show Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 16, 2026, settling near 23–24 °C under clear skies, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 28 °C provide modest nocturnal moderation, while dew points near 19–21 °C limit further cooling. Historical September lows average 20–21 °C, yet this night lacks the stronger radiational cooling or synoptic shifts that would push readings to 20 °C or below. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the market’s elevated implied probability for the 23 °C outcome and lower odds for more extreme bins. Updated model runs and official observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16?
20°C or below 89%
22°C 33%
21°C 33%
25°C <1%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
33%
22°C
33%
23°C
66%
24°C
35%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 89%
22°C 33%
21°C 33%
25°C <1%
20°C or below
89%
21°C
33%
22°C
33%
23°C
66%
24°C
35%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, NOAA-influenced guidance, and regional analyses show Tel Aviv’s minimum temperature on September 16, 2026, settling near 23–24 °C under clear skies, light northerly to northwesterly winds, and stable high pressure typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea-surface temperatures around 28 °C provide modest nocturnal moderation, while dew points near 19–21 °C limit further cooling. Historical September lows average 20–21 °C, yet this night lacks the stronger radiational cooling or synoptic shifts that would push readings to 20 °C or below. These stable atmospheric conditions underpin the market’s elevated implied probability for the 23 °C outcome and lower odds for more extreme bins. Updated model runs and official observations through the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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