Google’s repeated delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro—the flagship model teased at I/O 2026 with an initial June target that slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. The company has instead shipped frequent Gemini 3.x Flash and specialized variants through September 2026 while confirming partner testing of 3.5 Pro and the start of pre-training on Gemini 4, its most ambitious frontier run to date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal emphasis on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, explains the cautious rollout. Key upcoming catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro availability or further Gemini 4 timeline details at earnings or developer events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$1,360,649 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
September 30
6%
October 9
11%
October 15
50%
October 23
75%
October 31
84%
$1,360,649 Vol.
September 30
$129,715 Vol.
6%
October 9
$1,995 Vol.
11%
October 15
$21,437 Vol.
50%
October 23
$1,126 Vol.
75%
October 31
$37,718 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro—the flagship model teased at I/O 2026 with an initial June target that slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. The company has instead shipped frequent Gemini 3.x Flash and specialized variants through September 2026 while confirming partner testing of 3.5 Pro and the start of pre-training on Gemini 4, its most ambitious frontier run to date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal emphasis on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, explains the cautious rollout. Key upcoming catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro availability or further Gemini 4 timeline details at earnings or developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ET
Volume
$1,360,649Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro—the flagship model teased at I/O 2026 with an initial June target that slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. The company has instead shipped frequent Gemini 3.x Flash and specialized variants through September 2026 while confirming partner testing of 3.5 Pro and the start of pre-training on Gemini 4, its most ambitious frontier run to date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal emphasis on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, explains the cautious rollout. Key upcoming catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro availability or further Gemini 4 timeline details at earnings or developer events.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,360,649Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:18 AM ETResolver
0x65070be91...Google’s repeated delays on Gemini 3.5 Pro—the flagship model teased at I/O 2026 with an initial June target that slipped past July—continue to shape trader views on the next Pro release. The company has instead shipped frequent Gemini 3.x Flash and specialized variants through September 2026 while confirming partner testing of 3.5 Pro and the start of pre-training on Gemini 4, its most ambitious frontier run to date. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic, plus internal emphasis on agentic coding and long-horizon tasks, explains the cautious rollout. Key upcoming catalysts include any official confirmation of 3.5 Pro availability or further Gemini 4 timeline details at earnings or developer events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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