Analilia Mejia's position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey's 11th congressional district anchors the strong market consensus for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Mejia a 60% victory in the April 2026 special election to replace Mikie Sherrill. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee, faces the structural challenges of competing in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2018. Late national shifts in voter sentiment, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,527 Vol.
$39,527 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,573 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$15,955 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia's position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey's 11th congressional district anchors the strong market consensus for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Mejia a 60% victory in the April 2026 special election to replace Mikie Sherrill. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee, faces the structural challenges of competing in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2018. Late national shifts in voter sentiment, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$39,527Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia's position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey's 11th congressional district anchors the strong market consensus for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Mejia a 60% victory in the April 2026 special election to replace Mikie Sherrill. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee, faces the structural challenges of competing in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2018. Late national shifts in voter sentiment, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,527Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia's position as the Democratic incumbent in New Jersey's 11th congressional district anchors the strong market consensus for a Democratic hold in the November 2026 general election. The district carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Mejia a 60% victory in the April 2026 special election to replace Mikie Sherrill. Cook Political Report and other nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles and limited Republican infrastructure. Joe Hathaway, the Republican nominee, faces the structural challenges of competing in a district where Democrats have held the seat since 2018. Late national shifts in voter sentiment, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate these outcomes remain low-probability events.
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