Yvette Clarke, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 9th congressional district since 2007, secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against challengers. The Brooklyn-based district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Clarke’s 81 percent share in 2024. With the Republican nominee, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, facing structural disadvantages in voter registration and past turnout patterns, traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 95 percent. A late scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in this seat make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$40,288 Vol.
$40,288 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$40,288 Vol.
$40,288 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,282 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$21,007 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 9th congressional district since 2007, secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against challengers. The Brooklyn-based district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Clarke’s 81 percent share in 2024. With the Republican nominee, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, facing structural disadvantages in voter registration and past turnout patterns, traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 95 percent. A late scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in this seat make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$40,288Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 9th congressional district since 2007, secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against challengers. The Brooklyn-based district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Clarke’s 81 percent share in 2024. With the Republican nominee, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, facing structural disadvantages in voter registration and past turnout patterns, traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 95 percent. A late scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in this seat make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,288Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke, the Democratic incumbent representing New York’s 9th congressional district since 2007, secured her party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote against challengers. The Brooklyn-based district has consistently delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles, including Clarke’s 81 percent share in 2024. With the Republican nominee, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, facing structural disadvantages in voter registration and past turnout patterns, traders have priced the Democratic outcome at 95 percent. A late scandal, unexpected health development, or unusually strong national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though historical base rates in this seat make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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