The New York 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its urban Brooklyn and Queens electorate and consistent past results, drives the market consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter priorities on issues such as immigration and economic policy. Republican candidates encounter structural challenges in expanding support within this partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong GOP turnout surge, or a candidate withdrawal that alters the field before Election Day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiNY-09 House Election Winner
NY-09 House Election Winner
$40,288 Vol.
$40,288 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$40,288 Vol.
$40,288 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,282 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$21,007 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its urban Brooklyn and Queens electorate and consistent past results, drives the market consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter priorities on issues such as immigration and economic policy. Republican candidates encounter structural challenges in expanding support within this partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong GOP turnout surge, or a candidate withdrawal that alters the field before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$40,288Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its urban Brooklyn and Queens electorate and consistent past results, drives the market consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter priorities on issues such as immigration and economic policy. Republican candidates encounter structural challenges in expanding support within this partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong GOP turnout surge, or a candidate withdrawal that alters the field before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$40,288Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 9th congressional district's entrenched Democratic advantage, rooted in its urban Brooklyn and Queens electorate and consistent past results, drives the market consensus favoring a Democratic hold in the 2026 House election. The incumbent benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and alignment with local voter priorities on issues such as immigration and economic policy. Republican candidates encounter structural challenges in expanding support within this partisan environment. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong GOP turnout surge, or a candidate withdrawal that alters the field before Election Day.
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