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icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

icon for Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

$35,028 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$35,028 Vol.

Polymarket

South Sudan

$2,260 Vol.

62%

Rwanda

$2,128 Vol.

28%

Burundi

$200 Vol.

28%

United States

$10,215 Vol.

25%

Canada

$1,418 Vol.

24%

Kenya

$235 Vol.

29%

India

$732 Vol.

14%

Republic of the Congo

$12,170 Vol.

21%

Nigeria

$25 Vol.

17%

Ethiopia

$107 Vol.

50%

Somalia

$71 Vol.

36%

China

$3,512 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now the fastest-spreading and second-largest on record with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment on country-specific resolutions. Conflict-driven mobility, porous borders, and delayed detection have fueled rapid geographic expansion to 60 health zones, with imported cases already confirmed in Uganda (outbreak declared over after 42 days), France, and Germany. Neighboring markets like South Sudan show elevated implied probability due to regional ties, while vaccination campaigns using Ervebo for frontline workers and improved contact tracing represent key swing factors through year-end. Historical patterns of cross-border spread in insecure areas continue to shape the consensus around potential new detections before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$35,028
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, now the fastest-spreading and second-largest on record with over 5,794 confirmed cases and 2,786 deaths across six provinces as of late August 2026, anchors trader sentiment on country-specific resolutions. Conflict-driven mobility, porous borders, and delayed detection have fueled rapid geographic expansion to 60 health zones, with imported cases already confirmed in Uganda (outbreak declared over after 42 days), France, and Germany. Neighboring markets like South Sudan show elevated implied probability due to regional ties, while vaccination campaigns using Ervebo for frontline workers and improved contact tracing represent key swing factors through year-end. Historical patterns of cross-border spread in insecure areas continue to shape the consensus around potential new detections before December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$35,028
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Terkait

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 13 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Uganda" di 100%, diikuti oleh "South Sudan" di 62%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" telah menghasilkan $35K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?," jelajahi 13 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" adalah "Uganda" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "South Sudan" di 62%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.