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Politik·Primer

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

icon for Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
Politik·Primer

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 100.0%

Kenyan McDuffie <1%

Brianne K. Nadeau <1%

Karl Racine <1%

Polymarket

$154,625 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$18,152 Vol.

Yes

Kenyan McDuffie

$35,036 Vol.

No

Brianne K. Nadeau

$4,550 Vol.

No

Karl Racine

$3,446 Vol.

No

Zachary Parker

$2,935 Vol.

No

Brooke Pinto

$17,735 Vol.

No

Muriel Bowser

$3,292 Vol.

No

Robert White Jr.

$6,552 Vol.

No

Gary Goodweather

$20,159 Vol.

No

Christina Henderson

$35,516 Vol.

No

Phil Mendelson

$3,990 Vol.

No

Brian Schwalb

$3,261 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Janeese Lewis George holds a commanding lead in the June 16, 2026, Democratic primary for D.C. mayor following incumbent Muriel Bowser’s retirement after three terms. Early returns with roughly two-thirds of votes counted show her at approximately 53% compared to Kenyan McDuffie’s 37%, consistent with pre-election polling and her record-breaking individual donor base. Her “people-first” platform emphasizing housing production, tenant protections, affordable childcare, and utility cost relief mobilized strong grassroots support in a ranked-choice primary. Traders price her victory near certainty at 98.5% because no other candidate has demonstrated a viable path to overtake her in the remaining ballots. Late shifts remain theoretically possible through unusually skewed outstanding precincts or procedural delays, though current trends make such reversals highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$154,625
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 16, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 12 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Janeese Lewis George" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Kenyan McDuffie" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" telah menghasilkan $154.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Nov 25, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?," jelajahi 12 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" adalah "Janeese Lewis George" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Kenyan McDuffie" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.