Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where Republicans have consistently won recent federal contests by double-digit margins. Wied secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning the seat in a 2024 special election, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for Wied. A narrow Democratic path would require a significant national shift or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets around Green Bay and Appleton, though no such developments have materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWI-08 House Election Winner
WI-08 House Election Winner
$21,256 Vol.
$21,256 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tony Wied (R)
92%
Rick Crosson (D)
9%
$21,256 Vol.
$21,256 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Tony Wied (R)
$14,017 Vol.
92%
Rick Crosson (D)
$7,239 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where Republicans have consistently won recent federal contests by double-digit margins. Wied secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning the seat in a 2024 special election, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for Wied. A narrow Democratic path would require a significant national shift or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets around Green Bay and Appleton, though no such developments have materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$21,256Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where Republicans have consistently won recent federal contests by double-digit margins. Wied secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning the seat in a 2024 special election, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for Wied. A narrow Democratic path would require a significant national shift or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets around Green Bay and Appleton, though no such developments have materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,256Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 3, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tony Wied holds a commanding lead in the WI-08 race as the Republican incumbent in a district with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voting Index, where Republicans have consistently won recent federal contests by double-digit margins. Wied secured the nomination unopposed in the August 2026 primary after winning the seat in a 2024 special election, while Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary field. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 92% implied probability for Wied. A narrow Democratic path would require a significant national shift or unusually high turnout in Democratic-leaning pockets around Green Bay and Appleton, though no such developments have materialized ahead of the November 3 general election.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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