Recent observational data from multiple monitoring agencies confirm that August 1, 2026, set a new record for the warmest Northern Hemisphere daily average temperature, exceeding prior benchmarks by a clear margin amid persistent El Niño-driven ocean warmth and land heat. This aligns with July 2026 tying the hottest July on record globally at 1.18°C above the 20th-century average, with Northern Hemisphere land surfaces also reaching all-time highs. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence in these verified measurements over model projections alone, though minor revisions in final datasets or regional weighting could theoretically shift rankings slightly before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 1°, 2°, 3° agosto più caldo mai registrato?
2026 1°, 2°, 3° agosto più caldo mai registrato?
1st hottest 95%
2nd hottest 4.7%
3rd hottest 1.7%
4th or lower 1.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
1st hottest
95%
2nd hottest
5%
3rd hottest
2%
4th or lower
2%
1st hottest 95%
2nd hottest 4.7%
3rd hottest 1.7%
4th or lower 1.5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
1st hottest
$502 Vol.
95%
2nd hottest
$334 Vol.
5%
3rd hottest
$152 Vol.
2%
4th or lower
$151 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent observational data from multiple monitoring agencies confirm that August 1, 2026, set a new record for the warmest Northern Hemisphere daily average temperature, exceeding prior benchmarks by a clear margin amid persistent El Niño-driven ocean warmth and land heat. This aligns with July 2026 tying the hottest July on record globally at 1.18°C above the 20th-century average, with Northern Hemisphere land surfaces also reaching all-time highs. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence in these verified measurements over model projections alone, though minor revisions in final datasets or regional weighting could theoretically shift rankings slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.Recent observational data from multiple monitoring agencies confirm that August 1, 2026, set a new record for the warmest Northern Hemisphere daily average temperature, exceeding prior benchmarks by a clear margin amid persistent El Niño-driven ocean warmth and land heat. This aligns with July 2026 tying the hottest July on record globally at 1.18°C above the 20th-century average, with Northern Hemisphere land surfaces also reaching all-time highs. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence in these verified measurements over model projections alone, though minor revisions in final datasets or regional weighting could theoretically shift rankings slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 versus the data points available for all other Augusts on record.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Note: If August 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by September 30, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$1,140Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data from multiple monitoring agencies confirm that August 1, 2026, set a new record for the warmest Northern Hemisphere daily average temperature, exceeding prior benchmarks by a clear margin amid persistent El Niño-driven ocean warmth and land heat. This aligns with July 2026 tying the hottest July on record globally at 1.18°C above the 20th-century average, with Northern Hemisphere land surfaces also reaching all-time highs. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader confidence in these verified measurements over model projections alone, though minor revisions in final datasets or regional weighting could theoretically shift rankings slightly before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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