The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, according to near-final tallies with over 99% of votes counted. The PP captured 41.6% of the vote but lost five seats from its 2022 result, while the Socialists fell to a historic low of 28 seats and Vox secured around 15. These seat distributions, driven by voter turnout above 61% and shifts among smaller parties, left the PP dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome aligns with these verified parliamentary arithmetic and the absence of disputes likely to alter certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$27,608 Vol.
$27,608 Vol.
17 mag 2026
Sì
$27,608 Vol.
$27,608 Vol.
17 mag 2026
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, according to near-final tallies with over 99% of votes counted. The PP captured 41.6% of the vote but lost five seats from its 2022 result, while the Socialists fell to a historic low of 28 seats and Vox secured around 15. These seat distributions, driven by voter turnout above 61% and shifts among smaller parties, left the PP dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome aligns with these verified parliamentary arithmetic and the absence of disputes likely to alter certification.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Volume
$27,608Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, according to near-final tallies with over 99% of votes counted. The PP captured 41.6% of the vote but lost five seats from its 2022 result, while the Socialists fell to a historic low of 28 seats and Vox secured around 15. These seat distributions, driven by voter turnout above 61% and shifts among smaller parties, left the PP dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome aligns with these verified parliamentary arithmetic and the absence of disputes likely to alter certification.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volume
$27,608Data di fine
17 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The May 17, 2026 Andalusian regional election delivered 53 seats to the People's Party (PP) in the 109-seat parliament, two short of the absolute majority threshold, according to near-final tallies with over 99% of votes counted. The PP captured 41.6% of the vote but lost five seats from its 2022 result, while the Socialists fell to a historic low of 28 seats and Vox secured around 15. These seat distributions, driven by voter turnout above 61% and shifts among smaller parties, left the PP dependent on negotiations with Vox for government formation. Trader consensus on the "No" outcome aligns with these verified parliamentary arithmetic and the absence of disputes likely to alter certification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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